Bills vs Packers odds: Picks, predictions from proven model on 55-36 run
Click Here To Watch Now
The Packers and Bills will meet on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET with Buffalo looking to upset a second successive NFC North team on the road. After shocking the Vikings as 17-point underdogs, the Bills are now 9.5-point dogs against the Packers at Lambeau Field, down from an opener of 10.5. The Over-Under for total points scored is 44.5 in the latest Packers vs. Bills odds, up from 44.
Before you make any Packers vs. Bills picks, be sure to check out what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
Bills vs Packers Live NFL Football Games
SportsLine’s proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and ’17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.
It also nailed its two top-rated picks in Week 3, including backing the Ravens (-5.5) against the Broncos. It’s now 7-2 on top-rated picks this season, extending its run to 55-36.
Now, the SportsLine Projection Model has simulated Packers vs. Bills 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the computer slightly favors the Over in this matchup, but its stronger play is on the spread, saying one side hits in almost 60 percent of simulations.
The SportsLine model has taken into account the Bills’ stunning upset of the Vikings as double-digit underdogs and the Packers slipping up against the Redskins last week. Now both teams are entering Sunday staring down a potentially defining moment.
Aaron Rodgers already has had to battle through injury again this season, but he’s still been outstanding, with 832 yards passing, a 66.4 completion percentage, six touchdowns and no interceptions. The model expects him to have another big Sunday, projecting nearly 250 yards and two touchdowns.
But Rodgers’ big numbers don’t guarantee that the Packers will be able to cover this spread against a Buffalo team coming into Week 4 with a ton of confidence. The Bills have already slayed one NFC North team on the road, so heading to Lambeau shouldn’t faze them.
The Bills made the switch to rookie quarterback Josh Allen in Week 3 and it paid immediate dividends as he delivered a three-touchdown performance (one passing, two rushing) against the Vikings. The model is calling for Allen to account for over 200 yards of total offense again this week as Buffalo looks to build on last week’s performance.