Baylor vs Oklahoma

Baylor vs Oklahoma odds: 2018 college football picks, predictions from model on 8-2 run

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A Big 12 bout kicks off Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET, when Oklahoma hosts Baylor. Both teams won their conference openers, but have loftier goals in mind. While Baylor is hoping to make a run for the Big 12 crown, nothing short of a College Football Playoff berth will suffice for Oklahoma. In the latest Oklahoma vs. Baylor odds, the Sooners are 23.5-point favorites, down a field goal from the opener, while the over-under on total points scored is 68.

With such a huge spread, you’ll want to check out what SportsLine’s advanced computer model is predicting before you lay your own Oklahoma vs. Baylor picks.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. In the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors.

It’s also made some huge calls on its top-rated picks this season, including in Week 2, when it backed Kentucky (+13.5) against Florida in the Wildcats’ first win over the Gators in 31 years. Overall, it’s hitting over 60 percent of its top-rated college football picks in the last two weeks and finished Week 4 on a blistering 8-2 run. Anybody following it finished way, way up.

Now the model has simulated every single play of Oklahoma vs. Baylor. We can tell you the Under hits in 52 percent of simulations, but it has also locked in a strong against the spread pick that you can bank on well over 50 percent of the time. This pick is available only at SportsLine.

The model knows the Sooners were lucky to remain undefeated after being outplayed at home in the second half against Army.

The Sooners have seen their offensive output diminish on a weekly basis: 63, 49, 37 and most recently 28. Granted, the competition has been stiffer, but the offensive struggles versus the Black Knights were telling. Luckily for them, the Sooners were able to pull off a victory and remain undefeated.

For the season, Sooners quarterback Kyler Murray has already eclipsed 1,000 yards passing and 11 touchdowns while rushing for another 242 and three touchdowns. The Sooners’ explosive offense also features a solid ground game led by running back Trey Sermon, who is gobbling up yardage at 5.9 yards per attempt.

But just because Oklahoma features an explosive offense that can light up the scoreboard doesn’t mean it can cover a massive spread at home against Baylor.

Baylor’s Charlie Brewer has proven to be a legitimate dual-threat quarterback this season. In fact, he’s amassed 862 passing yards and six touchdowns while adding over 125 rushing yards and two more scores on the ground. And he’s coming off an efficient performance last week against Kansas where he completed 19-of-27 passes for 221 yards and three touchdowns.

Georgia vs Tennessee

Georgia football vs Tennessee: Weather report, TV channel, how to stream game

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ATHENS — Kirby Smart is all about developing depth on his Georgia football team for this “just in case” moments that inevitably happen in college football.

Already, the Bulldogs will be starting their third different offensive line combination in just the fifth game of the year on account of the leg injury suffered to starting right guard Ben Cleveland at Missouri.

Receiver Tyler Simmons (shoulder) is also expected to be out for Georgia’s game against Tennessee.

“I don’t think you ever have enough depth, [and] I don’t think any coach in the country will tell you ‘I feel really good about my depth,’ “ Smart said. “If I had to say that, I would say it would be at receiver. Outside of that, I don’t know I feel really good about our depth. You can never have enough good, ready to play players.

“We’re certainly going through that now. We’re also developing our young players. I don’t think enough people worry about that during the season. It’s a young season and at some point we’re going to need somebody to play.”

That could happen today for Georgia, as the Bulldogs are a prohibitive favorite and could end up working more young players into the game.

“We give the 3s reps, [and] we put our best players on the scout team,” Smart said. “Malik Herring is a guy that played 15 to 20 snaps at Missouri. He played on the scout team last week. You know what? He played really good in the game because he did. We send guys down all the time to be scout team players and come back. I think that organization in practice really helps develop your players.”

• Time: The game kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday 
• Date: Sept. 29, 2018
• Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, Ga.
• Weather forecast: Partly cloudy with a high of 86 and a low of 67.

The Georgia-Tennessee game will be televised on CBS. Brad Nessler will handle the play-by-play call and Gary Danielson will provide analysis. James Erdahl is the sideline reporter.

The game will be broadcast on WSB 95.5 FM, 750 AM, along with other Georgia Bulldog Sport Network (IMG) radio affiliates. Scott Howard is on the play-by-play call, Eric Zeier is the color analyst, and Chuck Dowdle is the sideline reporter.

Satellite radio for Georgia football vs. Tennessee

The game will be broadcast on Sirius channel 108 and  XM channel 190 (Georgia broadcast).

Central Michigan vs Michigan State

Michigan State football is aiming to gain some momentum in a Week 5 battle against Central Michigan. What must the Spartans do?

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Facing what Mark Dantonio calls a “rivalry game-type thing” on Saturday afternoon against Central Michigan, Michigan State has a chance to do something it hasn’t really done all season long, and that’s gain momentum.

The Spartans have started the trend in the right direction with a 14-point win at Indiana and now they need to take care of the Chippewas to head back into Big Ten action with momentum on their side.

Central, on the other hand, is struggling. The Chippewas were smacked by Kentucky to start the year, throttled by Kansas (yes, that Kansas) and beaten by Northern Illinois to start MAC play before getting their first win of the season against Maine in a 17-5 thriller.

The Chippewas have a lackluster offense, averaging just over 250 yards per game, while the defense is slightly better. Still, they could be in for a rude awakening against the nation’s best run defense in East Lansing.

Michigan State’s run defense has shown up the secondary, but they could both have big games on Saturday.

Brian Lewerke and that offense, too, need to get going. The quarterback had a rough game against the Hoosiers, but has had an overall solid season. This is a good opportunity for him to get his groove back and the run game to start gaining steam as well.

Date: Saturday, Sept. 29
Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
Location: East Lansing, Mich.
Venue: Spartan Stadium
TV: FOX Sports 1
Live Stream: FOX Sports Go or FuboTV

For Michigan State to take care of business, it’ll need to get that ground game going. Forget Lewerke, LJ Scott and Co. need to start racking up the yardage on the ground and the offensive line must show that it’s more than a slightly-above average unit that could only truly handle opponents in the MAC.

It needs to dominate all day long and open lanes for Scott, Connor Heyward, La’Darius Jefferson and Weston Bridges. If the run game is working, everything else will take care of itself.

Defensively, getting after quarterback Tommy Lazzaro is his second career start could only mean good things for this side of the ball. Making him uncomfortable in the pocket will only force him into some questionable decisions. He’s going to make some poor choices if the pressure is on and if the line can play like it did against Indiana, the Spartans will wreak serious havoc.

Odds courtesy of OddsShark

Line: Michigan State -28.5
Over/Under: 46.5

This one shouldn’t be all that close, and it won’t be. Central will keep things tight in the first quarter and the Spartans will find a way to break loose and open up the passing attack thanks to the run game being established. Scott will finally rush for 100-plus yards and Lewerke will complete 75 percent of his throws for 250 yards and three scores. This one will be decided by halftime and we may even see some Rocky Lombardi late — and I’m not talking about punting.

Florida State vs Louisville

Just the Facts: Florida State vs. Louisville

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The FSU head coach talked about preparing for Louisville’s two quarterbacks and whether or not he believes Landon Dickerson will play. Curt Weiler, Tallahassee Democrat

Florida State travels to Louisville this weekend for a 3:30 p.m. road showdown between two teams off to underwhelming starts.

A win for the Seminoles (2-2, 0-2 in ACC) over the Cardinals (2-2, 0-1 in ACC) would push them above .500 for the first time this season after a slow start which included losses to Virginia Tech and Syracuse.

FSU leads the all-time series over UL 14-4 and won the first two matchups against the Cardinals after they joined the ACC, but UL enters this season on a two-game winning streak over the Seminoles.

FSU is favored this week because it is playing perhaps the only ACC team off to a more disappointing start to its 2018 campaign.

UL opened ACC play last week with a 27-3 loss at Virginia and has shown no signs of life on offense while being forced to replace its Heisman Trophy quarterback Lamar Jackson.

The FSU offense showed signs of life early in the win over Northern Illinois last week and there’s reason to believe that will carry forward against the Cardinals.

UL is allowing 5.65 yards per play and has only played one team with an especially potent offense in Alabama.

Defensively, the Cardinals are ill-equipped to take advantage of FSU’s struggling offensive line as they have amassed six sacks through four games this season while allowing 11.

The last time FSU played at UL, it was a 63-20 beatdown by the Cardinals which served as a coronation of sorts for Jackson’s Heisman campaign.

The FSU players who participated in that game were somewhat willing to admit that game was weighing on them as they prepared to make a return trip.

FSU letting that moment be too big for them could open the door.

There’s also Louisville’s quarterback situation.

UL head coach Bobby Petrino played it coy this week when asked which of his two starting quarterbacks would get the start against the Seminoles.

The Cardinals have started both Jawon Pass and Malik Cunningham this season as the offense has struggled to find its footing.

The offense remains similar with either at the helm, but Pass relies on his arm more while Cunningham is an athlete who uses his legs to stretch out the defense.

Preparing for two quarterbacks is inherently difficult and if either of them finally clicks Saturday, it could prove problematic for the Seminoles.

In three games against FBS opponents this season, UL has failed to score a first-half touchdown and has scored three combined first-half points.

The trip to Louisville provides another strong chance for the FSU running game to get going. Both Virginia and Alabama ran for over 200 yards and over five yards per carry against the Cardinals, who have allowed six rushing touchdowns this season.

FSU enters Saturday averaging fewer than three yards per carry and has had just two rushing touchdowns from running backs. If the run game is able to find success, it will go a long way towards opening up FSU’s offense.

FSU gave fans a little bit of hope last Saturday with the way it played against Northern Illinois, and I think that carries over this week against a struggling Louisville team.

The Cardinals needed a fourth-quarter rally to beat Western Kentucky and were trounced by Virginia last Saturday.

I think the Seminoles are better on both sides of the ball with the Cardinals having the edge in special teams, but I think the Seminoles will get it done this week. I also think they cover the 6.5-point spread. Give me the ‘Noles 24-13.

After acknowledging the possibility last week that the NIU game may be the last time the Seminoles would be favored this season, here they are as touchdown favorites on the road the very next week.

Although FSU looked better last week, that’s more about the Cardinals than it is the Seminoles.

UL’s offense has been among the worst in the country and I fully expect the defense to wear down as the game progresses due to an offense that is unable to remain on the field.

I believe the FSU ground game improves, the Seminoles force their first turnover against an FBS opponent and the result is in hand by the beginning of the fourth quarter.

West Virginia vs Texas Tech

West Virginia Football: 3 bold predictions vs. Texas Tech

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Texas Tech head coach Kliff Kingsbury is coming off one of the biggest wins of his coaching career, beating a ranked Oklahoma State team in Stillwater. There’s not much time to celebrate, though, as Will Grier and the high-powered Mountaineers are about to make a trip to the Lone Star state.

Texas Tech is 3-1 following last week’s win over No. 15 Oklahoma State, with their lone loss coming in the opener against Ole Miss. Scoring a lot of points has been the Red Raiders recipe for success, averaging 52 points per game, the fifth-most in football.

West Virginia and Dana Holgorsen are preparing for just their fourth game of the season after Hurricane Florence forced a cancellation with Week 3 opponent NC State. They are undefeated, though, having thumped Tennessee in the season-opener, then beating the Youngstown State Penguins in the home-opener, and defeating Kansas State last week in their Big 12-opener. Saturday will be WVU’s first real road test.

What should we expect Saturday between Kingsbury’s Red Raiders and Holgorsen’s Mountaineers? Will either side be able to slow the other’s offensive attack? Who will be able to establish the running game first? Will West Virginia finally get a nice-weather game? Game day will be here soon, bu until then, we’ve got three bold predictions for Saturday’s contest.

Syracuse vs Clemson

Syracuse vs Clemson odds, line: Picks, predictions from who’s 13-4 on Tigers, Orange games

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In their quest for another College Football Playoff berth, the Clemson Tigers face a challenge Saturday when they host the surging Syracuse Orange in an ACC showdown at noon ET. The Tigers are 25.5-point favorites in the latest Clemson vs. Syracuse odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 66.5. Before you lock in any Clemson vs. Syracuse picks, be sure to check out what SportsLine senior analyst Josh Nagel has to say.

Syracuse vs Clemson Live NCAA Football

A Nevada-based expert with 20 years of experience in the sports wagering industry, Nagel specializes in handicapping college football. He also has a keen eye for the tendencies of these two programs. Over the past two years, Nagel boasts a record of 13-4 in against the spread picks involving Clemson or Syracuse.

Last season, he was all over Clemson’s stretch run to the College Football Playoff and advised followers to back the Tigers as 10-point favorites against Miami in the ACC title game. The result: Clemson rolled to a 38-3 victory, and anyone who followed Nagel’s advice pocketed an easy winner.

Now, he is locked in on Syracuse vs. Clemson. We can tell you he’s leaning toward the over, but his much stronger play is on the spread. He’s sharing his selection only over at SportsLine.

Nagel knows the Tigers will be seeking revenge against a Syracuse club that dealt them their lone loss in the 2017 regular season. Clemson seemed out of sorts and the Orange took advantage for a 27-24 home win as 24-point underdogs. This season, the Tigers (4-0) squeezed past Texas A&M 28-26 in Week 2 and are coming off a dominant performance in a 49-21 victory at Georgia Tech.

Their quarterback situation now has clarity because standout freshman Trevor Lawrence has been named the starter moving forward. Lawrence got the nod after he ignited the offense with 176 yards and four touchdowns against the Yellow Jackets.

Clemson’s vaunted defense held Georgia Tech to 203 yards, most of which came in the second half with the outcome already decided.

Although the Tigers are the favorites, there’s no guarantee they’ll cover against a Syracuse team that has an explosive offense and gave the Tigers fits in their previous meeting.

Eric Dungey is a dual-threat quarterback who has been carving up opponents with his explosive runs and downfield passes. The Orange generated some headlines with their 30-7 upset of Florida State two weeks ago, then followed it with a 51-21 thumping of Connecticut last week. Dungey accounted for five touchdowns against the Huskies. He threw for 286 yards and two scores, while rushing for 77 yards and three more touchdowns.

Syracuse’s long-suspect defense appears to have made strides, as the Orange have held their last two opponents to 28 combined points.

Nagel has analyzed all the key factors in Clemson vs. Syracuse and unearthed a critical x-factor that causes one side of the spread to hit hard. He’s sharing what it is, and who to back, only at SportsLine.

Louisiana vs Alabama

Alabama, Saban looking to put foot down against Louisiana, another former assistant

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WHEN: 11 a.m. Saturday

WHERE: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa

LINE: Alabama by 48

1. Ties that bind: With former Alabama receivers coach Billy Napier in his first season as Louisiana head coach, there are plenty of direct connections to the Tide on the Ragin’ Cajuns sideline Saturday. Along with Napier, who was an offensive analyst (2011) and receivers coach (2013-16) through two different stints at Alabama, Louisiana offensive coordinator Rob Sale, head strength coach Mark Hocke and defensive line coach Rory Segrest all worked behind the scenes with the Tide at various points in their careers. Also of note, Cajuns defensive coordinator Ron Roberts coached current Alabama defensive assistants Pete Golding and Karl Scott when he was Southeastern Louisiana’s head coach.

UL Lafayette’s head coach Billy Napier buried his father a year ago after he battled ALS. Napier looks up to his dad and his former boss Nick Saban. David D’Aquin / Scott Clause, Montgomery Advertiser

2. On-target Andre: Louisiana senior quarterback Andre Nunez is considered one of the more accurate passers in the FBS level, ranking eighth nationally with a 72.3 completion percentage. Nunez previously broke a 21-year-old program record with an 86.4 completion percentage on 19-of-22 passing against Grambling, and has thrown for 541 yards and four scores so far, with at least one passing touchdown coming in each of the Cajuns’ games this season.

3. Offensive juggernaut: With 524 yards of total offense last week against No. 22 Texas A&M, including a season-high 415 passing, the Crimson Tide have topped the 500-yard plateau in all four games this season. This is Alabama’s first four-game run of 500 yards or more of total offense since its first four games of the record-breaking 2014 season.

4. Patented passing: With sophomore quarterback Tua Tagovailoa showing out as Alabama’s starter this season, including a career-best 387 passing yards against A&M, the Tide offense has appeared unstoppable, especially through the air. Through four games this season, Tagovailoa is the nation’s highest rated passer with a total QBR of 97.8 (out of 100) according to ESPN.com, with a 153.5 NFL passer rating that leads all quarterbacks with at least 80 attempts. The success has allowed Alabama to rank No. 1 in passing efficiency with a 210.58 rating, along with ranking third nationally averaging 53.8 points per game this season.

While this might not be much of a matchup, especially given Moses and Wilson’s recruiting status as former five-star products compared to Ragas’ three-star profile, it very well could be the difference whether or not Louisiana’s offense is able to move the ball at all against Alabama on Saturday. Ragas is the Ragin’ Cajuns’ bell cow runner this season, leading the team with 35 carries for 294 rushing yards for an 8.4 yard-per-carry clip. Through three games, Ragas is averaging just under 100 yards rushing per game (98.0), including breaking out for 142 rushing yards on 13 carries in the opener against Grambling. Of course, Ragas struggled to get much of anything going in Louisiana’s earlier SEC matchup against Mississippi State, which should translate well against Alabama’s defense. Working the middle of the Tide front seven, Moses and Wilson rank second and fifth on the team with 19 and 15 total tackles, respectively, including a season-high nine-tackle game last weekend by Moses.

Given the potential for Saturday to turn into another blowout by the end of the first quarter, don’t expect a lot of Alabama’s veteran starters to see much action, that includes senior tailback Damien Harris. That of course could lead to more opportunities for players like gifted sophomores Najee Harris (no relation) and Brian Robinson Jr. to run wild. Najee Harris already leads the Tide in nearly every rushing category with 38 carries for 246 yards and three touchdowns, and should have plenty of opportunities to pad his stats Saturday against a Louisiana-Lafayette run defense that ranks dead last in the Sun Belt allowing 263 rushing yards per game this season. Also worth keeping in mind, listed at 230 pounds, Najee Harris outweighs all four of the Ragin’ Cajuns starting linebackers, including 228-pound starting middle ‘backer Jacques Boudreaux.

7: Alabama is 7-0 all-time against Louisiana, including back-to-back wins in 1988 and 1989 at Legion Field in Birmingham. Saturday will be the Ragin’ Cajuns’ first trip to Tuscaloosa since 1990.

10: Saban is 10-1 all-time against teams from the Sun Belt Conference, including 6-1 at Alabama by outscoring Sun Belt opponents by an average score of 41.5-10.4. The Tide previously knocked off Arkansas State 57-7 in the team’s home opener Sept. 8. Saban’s lone loss came against Louisiana-Monroe in 2007, his first season at Alabama.

13-0: Saban has won all 13 games he’s coached against teams featuring head coaches that were previously assistants under him, including last weekend’s 45-23 win over new Texas A&M coach Jimbo Fisher. Saturday will be Saban’s first against Napier, who was a receivers coach at Alabama from 2013-16, meaning he helped with at least five of those 13 wins.

42: Louisiana is 0-42 all-time in games played against SEC opponents, though did record quite the upset over then-Big 12 opponent Texas A&M with a 29-25 win on Sept. 14, 1996.

Given Louisiana has already been dealt one SEC beating at the hands of then-No. 16 Mississippi State (56-10 on Sept. 15), Saturday could very well be a massacre. The Ragin’ Cajuns are struggling on offense right now, still making progress running Napier’s pro-style spread attack, and will undoubtedly run into a buzz saw against the Tide defense inside Bryant-Denny Stadium. On the positive side, a significant early advantage for Alabama — which hasn’t been difficult against its first four opponents — could mean plenty of reps spread out amongst the Tide backup and third-teamers, which could pay dividends later on the season.

Alabama’s pass-happy offense under Tagovailoa and first-year coordinator Mike Locksley is already off to a record pace statistically, averaging nearly 540 yards of total offense per game, and could seriously put up some eye-popping numbers against a Louisiana defense that is allowing more than 470 yards per game this season to rank eighth in the Sun Belt. Don’t be surprised if Bryant-Denny Stadium clears out before halftime Saturday, that is if Tide fans even show up for the 11 a.m. kickoff. Alabama 66, Louisiana 7